H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Memorial ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has enhanced decently since Friday night.
The storm enhanced into a hurricane on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon location for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy needs to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less specific. Tammy was at first anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and incredibly effective hurricane that triggered huge damage and substantial loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever strike the United States, going beyond the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The largest death in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering defects in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, as well as big areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Hurricane cautions have actually now been provided for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests hurricane conditions are anticipated in some of these locations. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy should spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these locations.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be a little weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a hurricane that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated typhoon cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept optimal sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is anticipated to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outward approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward as much as 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to typhoon specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon professionals previously warned cyclones could form in unusual locations later on in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most major risks and could result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy